Analysis of COVID -19: Where Do We Stand?| Stephy Publishers

 


Pregnancy and Women’s Health Care International Journal - (PWHCIJ)| Stephy Publishers


Abstract

Background: The COVID-19 is a real pandemia and only very few countries in the world were minimally affected.

Objective: To measure the impact of COVID-19 deaths in 49 countries (49 SC or selected countries) and correlate them with, ecological, demographical, social, economic variables, aging and chronic diseases.

Material and methods: The 49 SCs are those considered by WHO reliable in term of deaths records.

Data concerning COVID-19 were taken from John Hopkins records updated to December 5th. The ecological, demographical, social, economical variable were consistent with the CIA Fact Book 2020. The deaths due to the most common diseases and cancers were taken from the WHO records in term of ASDRs (Age Standardized Death Rate). The age index was taken from The World Bank. The correlations were calculate in term “r” (linear correlation).

Results: The 49 SC represent about 19% of the world population accounting for about 61% of the total worldwide deaths. Very consistent differences among countries were shown, from 0% deaths up to 1.5 % deaths/1000 inhabitants. Any correlation was found with aging and ecological, demographical/ social, economic variables. The same was for the most common diseases (a part of peptic ulcer) and cancers (a part of bladder cancer).

Conclusion: The COVID-19 seems to be an independent disease, and the efficiency in reducing deaths belongs mainly by political issues.

Keywords

COVID-19, Aging, Ecology, Demography, Economy, Chronic diseases, Cancers

Introduction

The COVID-19 pandemia at December 5th was affecting about 66 million of people around the world and caused >1.5 million of deaths in a percentage of 0.23% of the cases. There are very consistent differences among countries, but the number of positive cases belongs to the number of swabs taken which contains some bias due to the repeated tests and false negative tests. The number of deaths seems to be a more solid variable, despite the issue about deaths for or with COVID-19. However, a very strong correlation has been calculated between number of swabs, positive cases and deaths.1

The numbers of COVID-19 deaths in the 49 SC

We based our analysis on deaths, considering only those 49 SC (Selected Countries) out of the total of 191 countries, namely those considered by WHO reliable in terms of death records,2 which represent only about the 20 % of the world population. These 49 SC, in terms of death were arbitrarily divided into 5 categories from those at “very high mortality” down to “no mortality” as represented in Table 1, which reports also the countries which has been considered. Summing up all the deaths up to December 5th,3 these countries represent the 61.2% of the total deaths with rates going from 1.5 deaths/1000 positive cases down to 0/1000 positive cases. The first element analyzed was the geography. Apparently, there are no evident connections between the severity of the disease and the geographical location of the countries. The season seems not to have an impact on the disease. However, in some of the countries where the seasonal gradients of temperature are usually large, the infection was more consistent with the cold weather.


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